Prompt

Review a forecast's assumptions

Reviews someone else's forecast or projection by surfacing its hidden assumptions, testing them against base rates and capacity limits, and finding the few that drive the result.

Full prompt

English
Help me review a forecast's assumptions.
Inputs: forecast; context.

1. Trace assumption evidence and validity.
2. check contradictions and over-extrapolation.
3. compare base, upside and downside scenarios.

Deliver: Verdict, Assumptions found, Reality checks, What drives the result, Questions for the author, Suggested changes.
Clarify critical gaps, separate facts from assumptions, and do not invent data, citations or completed actions.

My material: [fill in here]

Before you start

Provide forecast; context.

Source and license

Hodios · Review a forecast's assumptions

gabrielanhaia

CC0-1.0